Obama Gets Lucky in South Carolina Primary Results

By giving Newt Gingrich a double-digit success over Glove Mitt romney in Saturday’s Southern Carolina main, the GOP has done a amazing thing: it has confirmed that Government, one of the most prone incumbents in latest storage, is even luckier than anyone formerly thought. And he was known for being very fortunate already.

Consider: in 2004, two of his Il United declares senate challenges got stuck in spousal scandals; the other was Mike Keyes. Hillary Clinton probably would have won the 2008 presidential fight if her personnel had realized out how to stockpile associates in the lesser declares. And Government was actually dropping to Bob McCain in Sept 2008. Then Lehman Bros folded away and the Az senator went haywire. Government checked Mount-Rushmore-esque in assessment.

The president's success seems to have went back at some point for the 2012 political election. The most effective of his prospective Republican rivals—New Jacket Gov. Bob Christie, In Gov. Mitch Daniels, Wi Rep. Bob He, former California Gov. Jeb Bush—have all rejected to run, despite hefty relationship from traditional energy gamers. Meanwhile, the most effective Republican to dive right in (Romney) has became a advocate of government government offers and an founder of the changes that gradually became Obamacare. It’s challenging to invasion someone for doing something you yourself did (or would have done).

But Southern Carolina requires Our country's success to another stage. Last few times, experts was adament that there was only one possible situation going forward: Glove romney records the Palmetto Condition and parcels up the nomination by the end of Jan. That would have been bad for Government because the Republican problems on Glove romney would have finished and Romney’s problems on Government would have greater.

But now there are two possible results, and both of them appear to be rosier for the chief executive. The first is that Glove romney still clinches the nomination, but not this Calendar month, or next, or even the one after that. As Howard Fineman reviews, the GOP slapfast will now last “at least until May”—“not only because there seems to be a authentic three-way competition in the offing (or at least two-and-a-half-way) including Gingrich, Glove romney and Bob, but because of the GOP's main schedule and state-by-state guidelines for selecting associates.”

In Saturday’s concession language, Glove romney stated that the lengthy fight is “making our promotion better.” But the proof indicates otherwise. Glove has not obtained assistance gradually in these primaries and caucuses; he’s either reduce it, as in New Hampshire, or delayed out, as in Wi. In Southern Carolina he spent a 14-point cause in a few times.

What’s more, by fighting Bain Investment, Romney’s other Conservatives, Newt in particular, are now increasing and increasing the DNC’s long-planned invasion on the middle reasoning of Mitt's campaign: his supposed job-creation capabilities. The start is working: since Jan, undesirable side effects to Romney’s Bain functioning experience have greater by more than 75 % among Conservatives, and it was Gingrich, not Glove romney, who won among Southern Carolina voters most concerned about the financial climate. The Bain concern won't fade away before fall; Government will basically quotation Gingrich in his predictable invasion ads, which will air just as a lot of People are first intonation into the political election. Actually, unique actual possibility that Glove romney will become the Bob Kerry of 2012: an unloved Bay Stater who was selected because his application coordinated up the moment—Kerry the war hero; Glove romney the financial transformation artist—but then saw his most effective feature developed into his greatest listlessness.